Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.825620 0.961195 1.111599 1.290773 1.498380 1.731352 2.012644
2025-01-26 0.610452 0.792906 1.017788 1.315126 1.697842 2.173884 2.811237
2025-02-02 0.518944 0.728195 1.005961 1.401174 1.948803 2.680837 3.734300
2025-02-09 0.444687 0.664623 0.974768 1.443208 2.132392 3.109044 4.599171
2025-02-16 0.383946 0.606133 0.936310 1.461482 2.275215 3.487971 5.434033
2025-02-23 0.332694 0.551644 0.892643 1.460720 2.382632 3.819787 6.231949
2025-03-02 0.289167 0.501532 0.846796 1.446858 2.462742 4.112689 6.997857
2025-03-09 0.256248 0.463357 0.813738 1.447028 2.561884 4.442425 7.857486
2025-03-16 0.220461 0.414667 0.755793 1.395578 2.564122 4.606724 8.450375
2025-03-23 0.211570 0.412683 0.778393 1.488063 2.828956 5.250905 9.959826
2025-03-30 0.185700 0.375266 0.731778 1.446882 2.843236 5.446760 10.671578
2025-04-06 0.162737 0.340200 0.684883 1.398514 2.836514 5.600271 11.316873
2025-04-13 0.142874 0.309100 0.642650 1.355697 2.838875 5.778022 12.045517
2025-04-20 0.132288 0.295837 0.634499 1.381175 2.982559 6.250797 13.427420
2025-04-27 0.128740 0.297083 0.656209 1.471480 3.271298 7.048146 15.574422
2025-05-04 0.121394 0.288848 0.656604 1.515594 3.466125 7.671579 17.424606
2025-05-11 0.112817 0.276564 0.646479 1.534772 3.607795 8.196321 19.119351
2025-05-18 0.103734 0.261779 0.628744 1.533973 3.703365 8.629084 20.655425
2025-05-25 0.094720 0.245893 0.606426 1.519425 3.764790 8.991022 22.069362
2025-06-01 0.087548 0.233599 0.591070 1.519603 3.861071 9.443264 23.749043
2025-06-08 0.078078 0.214090 0.555677 1.465607 3.817861 9.560645 24.629331
2025-06-15 0.077434 0.217751 0.578643 1.562668 4.165493 10.660964 28.079738
2025-06-22 0.069891 0.201710 0.549148 1.519450 4.147146 10.853962 29.245597